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MysteryPollster

Demystifying the art and science of pre-election polling – By Mark Blumenthal

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Year: 2004

Exit Polls: What We Know

November 4, 2004October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal30 Comments on Exit Polls: What We Know

The apparent problems with Tuesday’s exit polls were obviously topic number one with MP’s readers yesterday. Before jumping into what went "wrongRead More…

Reader Survey Reminder

November 3, 2004October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal7 Comments on Reader Survey Reminder

It is hard for me to believe that I posted my first message on this blog barely six week ago. Yesterday, this site had over 120,000 visitors and had bRead More…

First Impressions

November 3, 2004October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal32 Comments on First Impressions

As with any election, the results leave us much to sift through. Although the final counts are not yet available for all states, we can still reach sRead More…

Exit Polls: More Questions

November 2, 2004October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal7 Comments on Exit Polls: More Questions

Dave M asks:You say that they poll randomly through the day and when the final precinct vote (not survey) counts are available, they get incorporated.Read More…

Exit Polls: Answering Your Questions

November 2, 2004October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal9 Comments on Exit Polls: Answering Your Questions

Let me answer some questions that came up in the comments: Frankly0 asks:I don’t get the notion that the exit polls have a 3% MOE nationally. I can sRead More…

Exit Polls: What You Should Know

November 2, 2004October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal78 Comments on Exit Polls: What You Should Know

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Looking for Information on Exit Polls for Election Day 2006?
See the newly updated, 2006 edition of this post now on PolRead More…

Allocating Undecideds

November 2, 2004October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal9 Comments on Allocating Undecideds

I started to do something this evening I haven’t had a chance to do in several days, which is to simply browse other blogs and ponder where things staRead More…

Ohio: Back to the Future

November 1, 2004October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal9 Comments on Ohio: Back to the Future

There is one poll I have been dying to write about since I started this blog. It has a surprisingly strong track record and, as luck would have it, hRead More…

Likely Voters VIII: Users Guide to Everybody Else

November 1, 2004October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal10 Comments on Likely Voters VIII: Users Guide to Everybody Else

And finally:  The final post in my "epic" series on likely voter models.  The link to the jump page will take you to descriptions Read More…

The MP Reader Survey

October 31, 2004October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal2 Comments on The MP Reader Survey

As I mentioned in the last post, I created a short online survey about this site that you can fill out by clicking this link. If you have read this bRead More…

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