Exit Polls: CalTech/MIT Report
Two new reports on exit polls came to my attention over the weekend. Both reports were written by high-powered PhDs from high-powered institutions, anRead More…
Year: 2004
Lessons: Mobile Phones
In today’s Washington Post, Richard Morin provides an important epilogue on the issue of mobile-phone-only voters. As I wrote before the election, sRead More…
Pew on “Moral Values”
The Pew Research Center released a new study yesterday, a follow-up interview with 1203 voters who were originally surveyed in October that sheds inteRead More…
Lessons: Likely Voter Models & Bias
On Wednesday morning after the election, still a bit groggy, I cobbled together a quick table of the final surveys released by the major national polRead More…
Blaming the Bloggers – epilogue
Yesterday’s "Real Time" column by the Wall Street Journal’s Hanrahan and Fry made essentially the same point I did about the exit poll/bloggRead More…
Vote Fraud?
I am hoping to spend the next week or so looking at what the elections have told us about the various issues we discussed here in the weeks before theRead More…
Blaming the Bloggers
One thing that has bothered me about the coverage of the early exit poll snafu on Tuesday is the notion that bloggers were the problem. "BloggersRead More…
MoralValues
Saturday’s New York Times had three articles on the other big exit poll issue this week: The question that showed 22% of voters choosing "moral vRead More…
Exit Polls: Mitofsky on News Hour
Warren Mitofsky, one of the principal directors of the National Election Pool (NEP) exit poll, appeared last night on the Lehrer News Hour. The Read More…
Exit Polls: The NEP Report
A story by Jim Rutenberg in today’s New York Times finally reports the explanation of the exit poll mishap from the people who ran it, Warren MitofskyRead More…