Skip to content
Friday, June 06, 2025

MysteryPollster

Demystifying the art and science of pre-election polling – By Mark Blumenthal

Menu
  • Home
  • Home
  • 2004
  • Page 2

Year: 2004

News Roundup

December 10, 2004October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal12 Comments on News Roundup

So many good topics, so little time. Several items appeared in the past 48 hours that are worth passing along.
Slate’s David Kenner and William SaletaRead More…

What is the Sampling Error for Exit Polls?

December 9, 2004October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal10 Comments on What is the Sampling Error for Exit Polls?

The newly posted methodology information on the National Election Pool (NEP) website (for states and the national survey) provides much more guidanceRead More…

NEP Methodology Info Now Online

December 7, 2004October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal2 Comments on NEP Methodology Info Now Online

As of yesterday afternoon, the National Election Pool website (exit-poll.net) has posted methodology statements for both the national and statewide exRead More…

Correcting the “Correction”

December 6, 2004October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal2 Comments on Correcting the “Correction”

Having spent the weekend with my family, I have much to cover today and not enough time to cover it. Let’s start with the mini-controversy over the esRead More…

That Rumored Hispanic Revision?

December 3, 2004October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal10 Comments on That Rumored Hispanic Revision?

It’s now apparently official.  Brosnan of the Scripps Howard News Service reports and includes a hint as to how the "revision" was accoRead More…

NBC’s Shuster on Exit Polls

December 3, 2004October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal9 Comments on NBC’s Shuster on Exit Polls

We learn more in drips and drabs.  This from NBC’s David Shuster via Chris Matthew’s "Hardblogger" (hat tip: RottenDemark):  The fRead More…

The Raw Exit Poll Data

December 1, 2004October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal

I know there has been much interest in when the National Election Poll would release the raw data from the exit polls. I want to voice one note of cauRead More…

NEP Revises Texas Hispanic Estimates

December 1, 2004October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal7 Comments on NEP Revises Texas Hispanic Estimates

I am a bit behind on this item, but the Associated Press issued a "correction" on Monday based on a revision of the exit poll estimate of PrRead More…

Freeman’s Data

November 29, 2004October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal12 Comments on Freeman’s Data

Steven Freeman, the author of the widely circulated paper entitled, “The Unexplained Exit Poll Discrepancy,” has posted exit poll tabulations for 49 Read More…

The Difference Between “Partial” and “Final” Exit Polls

November 29, 2004October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal11 Comments on The Difference Between “Partial” and “Final” Exit Polls

A few days ago John Kesich, a commenter on this site, complained about the way the term "exit polls" has been used to describe both projectiRead More…

Posts navigation

Older posts
Newer posts

Recent Posts

  • Polling Has Changed. The Way We Read (And Sometimes Misread) It Has Not.
  • Impeachment Update: No Signs of Non-Response Error
  • Gelman: Nonresponse Not So Rare
  • MysteryPollster is Back!
  • Another ‘Phantom Swing’? Investigating Differential Nonresponse in 2018

Archives (Mostly Old!)

Legacy Categories (2004-2006)

Meta

  • Log in
  • Entries feed
  • Comments feed
  • WordPress.org
BlogMagazine | Theme: BlogMagazine by Dinesh Ghimire.