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MysteryPollster

Demystifying the art and science of pre-election polling – By Mark Blumenthal

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Year: 2004

More on Party ID

September 27, 2004October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal6 Comments on More on Party ID

My post on weighting by Party generated by far the most comment, and has left a few good questions unanswered. I’ll try to answer them in the next Read More…

The Odd Specialization

September 27, 2004October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal1 Comment on The Odd Specialization

I’m slowly digging out from under the many comments and emails last week. Thanks to everyone who stopped by. I’ve got a long list of questions tRead More…

About Mystery Pollster

September 26, 2004October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal5 Comments on About Mystery Pollster

Contact
Email Address: questions@pollster.com
Website: http://www.pollster.com
Phone: 202-393-3195 Biography
I have been in the political polling busRead More…

Pop Quiz

September 25, 2004October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal3 Comments on Pop Quiz

Blogger Dalythoughts dug into the 2002 post-election analysis by the National Council on Public Polls (NCCP) and discovered what can happen when a polRead More…

Must Read WSJ Article

September 25, 2004October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal2 Comments on Must Read WSJ Article

In a crush of work yesterday, I somehow missed a terrific article by Sharon Begley in the morning’s Wall Street Journal, “Public-Opinion Polls DiverRead More…

The Election Isn’t Held Today

September 24, 2004October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal2 Comments on The Election Isn’t Held Today

So far, we have been talking about the limitations of polling, a topic that we will discuss in great detail going further. However, with a slew of neRead More…

No Mystery

September 24, 2004October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal2 Comments on No Mystery

First of all, I need to clear up one bit of unintended mystery. As of today, my real name appears on the right sidebar as “editor” and in the authoRead More…

In medias res

September 23, 2004October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal13 Comments on In medias res

Thank you, Mr. Kaus (and, for that matter, Mr. Reynolds as well).
Now that I have your attention, you may be wondering, who am I, and what is this bloRead More…

Weighting by Party

September 23, 2004October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal32 Comments on Weighting by Party

It is nearly impossible to blog on political polling this week without discussing the subject of weighting by Party ID.  Ruy Teixeira of the EmerRead More…

So What Should a Junkie Do?

September 22, 2004October 1, 2019 Mark Blumenthal2 Comments on So What Should a Junkie Do?

So what are we to make of polling, given that it allows for a wide variance of results at this point in the election? For average voters trying to maRead More…

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