Do undecided voters break for the challenger?
When pollsters interpret results for a race involving an incumbent, most are at least aware of a phenomenon observed for telephone surveys over the laRead More…
Demystifying the art and science of pre-election polling – By Mark Blumenthal
When pollsters interpret results for a race involving an incumbent, most are at least aware of a phenomenon observed for telephone surveys over the laRead More…
These two posts from 2004 address discuss the issue of how households with cell phones but no "landline" service can affect telephone surveyRead More…
I comment from time to time on what the polls are saying about where the presidential race stands. Click on this link to display short excerpts of alRead More…
Start with these two posts on how instant polls and focus group aim to evaluate how candidates faired in a debate: Instant post-debate polls
Focus GrRead More…
More frequently asked questions – click the link for answers:
Can polls tell who won a debate?
Why do retrospective questions about the 2000 race showRead More…
Virtually every national survey organization following the presidential race released new surveys in the last four days. Is there any sign of a changRead More…
My post on weighting by Party generated by far the most comment, and has left a few good questions unanswered. I’ll try to answer them in the next Read More…
I’m slowly digging out from under the many comments and emails last week. Thanks to everyone who stopped by. I’ve got a long list of questions tRead More…
Contact
Email Address: questions@pollster.com
Website: http://www.pollster.com
Phone: 202-393-3195 Biography
I have been in the political polling busRead More…
Blogger Dalythoughts dug into the 2002 post-election analysis by the National Council on Public Polls (NCCP) and discovered what can happen when a polRead More…